MOSCOW, RUSSIA / RankWire.AI / – Russia is forecasted to produce approximately 140 million tonnes of grain in 2026 as farmers wrap up the harvest season. Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Patrushev reported that farmers had collected over 126 million tonnes by October 2, with about 90% of the planted grain area already threshed. The government also anticipates oilseed output to reach roughly 35 million tonnes this year. These latest figures indicate that the harvest is close to the official full-year projection.
Throughout the autumn harvest period, the national grain total has shown a consistent upward trend. Russia had gathered 113.5 million tonnes by early September and surpassed 120 million tonnes by September 18, which included more than 90 million tonnes of wheat. Oilseed production has now climbed to approximately 15 million tonnes. Additionally, farmers in organized sectors have harvested nearly 4.5 million tonnes of potatoes and a similar volume of vegetables. Officials state that crop yields across most categories remain above their 2025 levels.
The Ministry of Economic Development projects a slightly higher 2026 grain harvest of about 141.8 million tonnes. According to Rosstat, the 2025 harvest was recorded at 141.2 million tonnes within its defined territorial scope. Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut also cited a total of 144.6 million tonnes for 2025 during an April government meeting, making it Russia’s third-largest grain harvest. In 2024, Russia produced nearly 130 million tonnes of grain, providing a recent comparison for this season.
Progress Towards Harvest Completion
Patrushev noted that the current pace of harvest activities aligns with the government’s crop expectations. During the autumn fieldwork, Russia maintained several support measures, including allocating about 10 billion rubles to subsidize grain transportation from key producing regions. Export duties on grain were also suspended through the end of 2026, while export taxes on vegetable oil and meal were capped at August levels. These policies are still active in the final phase of the 2026 harvest.
Winter sowing has already covered over half of the planned area for the upcoming agricultural cycle. Regional authorities have been advised to monitor planting closely, especially for winter grains. Earlier, officials indicated farmers aim to sow more than 19 million hectares with winter crops. The authorities also stressed the importance of machinery, seed, fertilizer, and other supplies necessary for seasonal work. Farmers continue preparations while completing the remaining harvest of 2026 across grain, oilseed, vegetable, and potato-growing regions.
Current Output Remains High by Recent Standards
Recent years have seen Russia’s grain production stay near historically high levels. In 2023, the country harvested about 143 million tonnes, while 2022 set a record with 157.676 million tonnes. The current estimate of about 140 million tonnes is below these figures but still above the nearly 130 million tonnes gathered in 2024. The final 2026 total remains uncertain as harvesting continues in some regions, and the ultimate figure will depend on the reporting from remaining areas.
The broader 2026 crop includes not only grains but also oilseeds, vegetables, and potatoes. Oilseed production is expected to reach around 35 million tonnes for the full year, while vegetable and potato harvesting are ongoing as regions complete seasonal work. Meanwhile, farmers are expanding winter planting efforts for the upcoming cycle. The Russian government has yet to publish an official final grain figure, but its current projection remains around 140 million tonnes for 2026, with already reported harvests exceeding 126 million tonnes.